{"id":3832,"date":"2012-10-11T15:27:59","date_gmt":"2012-10-11T15:27:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/?p=3832"},"modified":"2012-10-11T15:46:01","modified_gmt":"2012-10-11T15:46:01","slug":"van-registrations-up-1-in-september-stability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/archives\/3832","title":{"rendered":"Van Registrations Up 1% In September &#8211; Stability?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Van registrations edged up by 1.1% in September, according to the latest figures from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT). So does this represent a return of stability to the market?<\/p>\n<p>SMMT chief executive Paul Everitt certainly thought so, commenting:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;The September plate change provided enough of a boost to stabilise van demand in a challenging economic environment. Continuing the trend seen so far this year, light rigids performed strongly in the month growing 23.4%, while light vans and pickups reversed recent declines, recording rises of 8.8% and 17.2% respectively.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>However, I&#8217;m not entirely sure I feel as optimistic as Mr. Everitt. A 1.1% increase on last September&#8217;s figures is hardly a reversal of the 6.3% decline in van registrations for the year to date (compared to the first 9 months of 2011). Nor does it complete reverse the rolling year decline of 2.6%, although it&#8217;s certainly a move in the right direction.<\/p>\n<p>My feeling is that if the plate change only delivered a 1.1% boost, we are likely to be back into flat or negative territory by the end of this month &#8212; although I would be very happy to be proved wrong!<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_3833\" style=\"width: 634px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3833\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3833\" title=\"SMMT commercial vehicle registration figures\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/smmt-sept-reg-3.gif\" alt=\"SMMT commercial vehicle registration figures\" width=\"624\" height=\"427\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/smmt-sept-reg-3.gif 624w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/smmt-sept-reg-3-300x205.gif 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 624px) 100vw, 624px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3833\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">SMMT commercial vehicle registration figures (courtesy of SMMT)<\/p><\/div>\n<h3>Big Vans vs. Little Vans<\/h3>\n<p>Interestingly, the mix of different types of light commercial vehicles continues to change. This year has seen fewer sub-2t and 2.5t-3.5t van sales, as this SMMT graph shows:<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_3834\" style=\"width: 320px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3834\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3834\" title=\"Light commercial vehicle registrations by type\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/smmt-sept-reg-1.gif\" alt=\"Light commercial vehicle registrations by type\" width=\"310\" height=\"251\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/smmt-sept-reg-1.gif 310w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/smmt-sept-reg-1-300x242.gif 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 310px) 100vw, 310px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3834\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Light commercial vehicle registrations by type (courtesy of SMMT)<\/p><\/div>\n<h3>Truckin&#8217; Ahead<\/h3>\n<p>For those that are interested, truck sales have continued to perform more strongly than van sales, especially in the light rigid (3.5t &#8211; 6.0t) category, where new registrations were up by 23.4% on the same period last year and are up 48.6% for the year to date.<\/p>\n<p>Registrations of larger rigids have also grown strongly and are up 28% (6.0t &#8211; 16t) and 26% (&gt;16t) on the year to date, although &gt;16t recorded an 18% fall in registrations in September compred to September last year.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_3835\" style=\"width: 323px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3835\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3835\" title=\"Truck registrations by type\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/smmt-sept-reg-2.gif\" alt=\"Truck registrations by type 2012 YTD vs 2011 YTD\" width=\"313\" height=\"227\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/smmt-sept-reg-2.gif 313w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/smmt-sept-reg-2-300x217.gif 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 313px) 100vw, 313px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3835\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Truck registrations for 2011 and 2012 YTD, divided into rigid and artics -- rigids have gained strongly this year (courtesy of SMMT)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Artic sales are flagging and are down 6.2% on the year to date, although sales of 3-axle artics (by far the most popular), rose by 3% last month, perhaps because of the plate change effect.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The latest SMMT figures show that van registrations rose by 1.1% in September compared to the same period last year &#8212; but is it a sign of stability or simply the plate change effect?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8],"tags":[1212,310,1328],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3832"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3832"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3832\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3840,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3832\/revisions\/3840"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3832"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3832"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3832"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}