{"id":6728,"date":"2014-10-07T13:54:04","date_gmt":"2014-10-07T13:54:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/?p=6728"},"modified":"2014-10-07T13:54:04","modified_gmt":"2014-10-07T13:54:04","slug":"is-the-used-van-market-turning-in-favour-of-buyers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/archives\/6728","title":{"rendered":"Is the used van market turning in favour of buyers?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-6729\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/bca-auction-20-sm.jpg\" alt=\"BCA van auction\" width=\"350\" height=\"221\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/bca-auction-20-sm.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/bca-auction-20-sm-300x189.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/bca-auction-20-sm-50x31.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" \/>Average used van prices fell slightly in September, according the latest data from\u00a0auctioneer BCA, despite\u00a0the average age of vans coming under the hammer at auctioneer BCA continued to fall.<\/p>\n<p>This marks the continuation of a trend <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/archives\/6604\">I flagged up in August<\/a> and which appeared to be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/archives\/6650\">confirmed by\u00a0sales data from Manheim<\/a> last month.<\/p>\n<p>In my view, we&#8217;re now seeing\u00a0a gradual fall in used van prices, although it&#8217;s worth emphasising that the used market does remain very strong, with prices at near-record levels and average sale prices\u00a0of more than 100% of CAP values.<\/p>\n<h3>Falling age is key<\/h3>\n<p>Although the\u00a0average price realised on used vans by BCA was \u00a35,560 in September &#8212; the third highest figure on record &#8212; average age fell by three months, or nearly 5%, to 56.39 months, compared to the same period last year. This resulted in a corresponding fall in the sales vs. CAP price ratio,\u00a0suggesting\u00a0that vans are becoming slightly more\u00a0reasonably priced:<\/p>\n<table border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"80\">\n<p align=\"center\"><b>All vans<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"94\">\n<p align=\"center\"><b>Avg Age (mnths)<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"71\">\n<p align=\"center\"><b>Avg Mileage<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"76\">\n<p align=\"center\"><b>Avg Value<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"80\">\n<p align=\"center\"><b>Sale vs CAP<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"80\">\n<p align=\"center\"><b>Sept 2013<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"94\">\n<p align=\"center\">59.33<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"71\">\n<p align=\"center\">80,217<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"76\">\n<p align=\"center\">\u00a35,158<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"80\">\n<p align=\"center\">105.19%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"80\">\n<p align=\"center\"><b>Sept<\/b><b> <\/b><b>2014<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"94\">\n<p align=\"center\">56.39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"71\">\n<p align=\"center\">80,591<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"76\">\n<p align=\"center\">\u00a35,560<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"80\">\n<p align=\"center\">103.94%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>Data courtesy of British Car Auctions (BCA)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Duncan Ward, BCA&#8217;s General Manager &#8211; Commercial Vehicles,\u00a0says that\u00a0economic and seasonal factors, combined with the long-running shortage of used supply is keeping demand strong:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;There can be little doubt that the improving economic background is giving a boost to the used LCV market, and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) remain positive about future prospects.\u00a0 The shortage of good retail quality stock is helping to keep values firm and competition is high for well-presented vans in good colours.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We are now moving into the time of year when the demand for parcel, courier and delivery vans of all types and capacities starts to ramp up, and this will help to keep values firm over the coming weeks.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I don&#8217;t expect any dramatic changes in market conditions for the rest of this year, but I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised to see things quieten down a bit in the New Year, especially if <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/archives\/6720\">the current strong growth in new van registrations<\/a> &#8212; which ultimately\u00a0increases\u00a0the supply of and reduces demand for used vans &#8212; continues.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The latest used van price data from BCA suggests that the softening I forecast in the market is continuing, with both average age and price falling in September.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8],"tags":[1875],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6728"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6728"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6728\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6731,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6728\/revisions\/6731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6728"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6728"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6728"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}