{"id":8927,"date":"2016-05-25T15:31:56","date_gmt":"2016-05-25T15:31:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/?p=8927"},"modified":"2016-05-25T15:31:56","modified_gmt":"2016-05-25T15:31:56","slug":"uk-cv-production-wobbles-in-april-as-euro-demand-weaknes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/archives\/8927","title":{"rendered":"UK CV production wobbles in April as Euro demand weaknes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I commented last month on how a drop in domestic demand for UK-built vans and trucks had caused UK commercial vehicle production <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/archives\/8847\">to drop 13% in March<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In April it was the turn of our European customers to hesitate. An 11.2% drop in export demand pushed total UK CV production down by 0.9% to 8,548 units, according to the latest figures from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT). Weaker European demand was however offset by a 13.6% rise in UK demand, which rose to 4,047 units.<\/p>\n<p>What this shows, of course, is that one month&#8217;s data does not make a trend. Large fleet orders and seasonal factors can easily push CV demand up or down by a few hundred units each month, without signifying any change in overall market conditions.<\/p>\n<p>However, Mike Hawes, SMMT chief executive sounded a cautious note when commenting on the outlook for the rest of the year (my bolding):<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cAlthough April saw a slight decrease in CV production, the sector continues to perform well with positive year-to-date figures. Following the substantial rise in volumes last year, <strong>we can expect production growth to ease slightly over coming months<\/strong>. However, with continued demand for British-built vans and trucks at home and around the world, the sector\u2019s outlook is positive.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>At present, the overall trend remains positive &#8212; just. UK CV manufacturing output is up by 0.4% so far in 2016, as changes in home and export demand have largely offset each other:<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_8928\" style=\"width: 649px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8928\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-8928\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/smmt-cv-prod-table-apr16.jpg\" alt=\"SMMT CV production April 2016\" width=\"639\" height=\"147\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/smmt-cv-prod-table-apr16.jpg 639w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/smmt-cv-prod-table-apr16-300x69.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/smmt-cv-prod-table-apr16-624x144.jpg 624w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/smmt-cv-prod-table-apr16-50x12.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 639px) 100vw, 639px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-8928\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: SMMT<\/p><\/div>\n<p>It&#8217;s too early to get a clear idea of the trend for the year at this point, I&#8217;d suggest, although the situation certainly seems a little less clear cut than last year, as this graph shows:<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_8929\" style=\"width: 478px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8929\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-8929\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/smmt-cv-output-apr16.jpg\" alt=\"SMMT CV Output rolling year Apr 2016\" width=\"468\" height=\"328\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/smmt-cv-output-apr16.jpg 468w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/smmt-cv-output-apr16-300x210.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/smmt-cv-output-apr16-50x35.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 468px) 100vw, 468px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-8929\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: SMMT<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UK CV manufacturing output hesitated last month as weaker export demand offset stronger home demand. The outlook is starting to look less bullish than 12 months ago.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8929,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8],"tags":[310,1885],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8927"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8927"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8927\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8931,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8927\/revisions\/8931"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8929"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8927"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8927"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vanrental.co.uk\/vanblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8927"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}